Rethinking Political Risks

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Mission-critical corporate goals are impacted by (geo)political, economic / financial, social / societal, technological, legal / regulatory / governance, or environmental (PESTLE) uncertainties in numerous ways.  We offer comprehensive, objective-driven data analysis to optimize operational & supply chain planning strategies and achievement of business goals.  Data changes over time (e.g. with changing political leader policies), so monitoring & updating facts / data is an on-going requirement.

Insights analyze why past events and/or data happened and what is changing.  

The analysis can include:  root causes, trend drivers & buffers, indicators, signals and noise, and emerging risks & unknowns.  It can also include developing options, reviewing internal & external reports, de-bias training, assumptions-testing, & risk concentrations.  All can be utilized for better predictive modeling of plausible future scenarios.

Strategic foresight involves envisioning plausible future scenarios across all PESTLE uncertainties, their impact on your strategy, and stress-testing the scenarios with contextual and insightful questions & answers from the world’s most consistently accurate forecasters in order to provide probability & outcome confidence analysis, feedback for predictive models, and better planning for those scenarios.

This can be critical as most humans average only 40-55% accuracy (≈ coin flip odds) when making 90% confidence estimates of certain outcomes.

What if you could increase forecasting and decision accuracy around future uncertainties by 65% or more?

In order to seize new opportunities and build resilience and even survivability in some operating locations, understanding potential futures is critical to planning for and deciding which business continuity or risk mitigation strategies can be most efficient or cost-effective.

A comprehensive and contextual analysis of the past (data), the present (insights), possible futures (foresight and forecasting), and potential risk mitigations enables a better understanding of a corporations' future PESTLE uncertainties.  And that produces better decisions.